Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.500591 0.585797 0.678921 0.787963 0.911841 1.047887 1.208283
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.368840 0.482650 0.619001 0.793096 1.008042 1.263211 1.587375
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.271997 0.393128 0.550407 0.766637 1.052784 1.414714 1.902725
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.224301 0.352960 0.531744 0.793015 1.158729 1.645178 2.332322
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.187578 0.318888 0.512815 0.811890 1.251381 1.861616 2.758041
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.166900 0.303637 0.516539 0.860318 1.386598 2.143864 3.292620
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.139415 0.271780 0.489156 0.856561 1.442027 2.314068 3.678370
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.116024 0.241964 0.459710 0.844093 1.480134 2.458407 4.032974
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.097865 0.217760 0.435445 0.835708 1.521556 2.607934 4.402203
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.086512 0.204146 0.427314 0.852758 1.604408 2.825838 4.888523
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.076115 0.190357 0.416610 0.863293 1.675951 3.028984 5.362370
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.066629 0.176564 0.403721 0.867763 1.736267 3.216331 5.820303
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.059044 0.165765 0.395725 0.881429 1.815761 3.444008 6.363855
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.051386 0.153219 0.382351 0.883074 1.873395 3.638376 6.864216
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.042413 0.135342 0.354768 0.852610 1.867479 3.720652 7.177663
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.038839 0.130656 0.355668 0.880988 1.976627 4.014038 7.873126
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.035168 0.124865 0.353105 0.901460 2.071438 4.286589 8.545749
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.033702 0.125085 0.364848 0.954382 2.235363 4.695735 9.483076
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.029419 0.115829 0.351908 0.950244 2.281522 4.886354 10.033040
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.025294 0.105950 0.335752 0.936593 2.306092 5.036463 10.515066
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.021933 0.097626 0.322257 0.927415 2.338847 5.203283 11.035095
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.020007 0.093773 0.320324 0.946069 2.433574 5.496895 11.808418
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.018045 0.089244 0.315769 0.957592 2.513083 5.764076 12.543048